Florida vs. Auburn Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Final Four - Bleacher Nation (2025)

A Final Four matchup in the NCAA Tournament will see the No. 1 seed Florida Gators (34-4, 14-4 SEC) and the No. 1 seed Auburn Tigers (32-5, 15-3 SEC) meet on Saturday at 6:09 p.m. ET at Alamodome (airing on CBS) with a place in the National Championship game to be won. Florida is a 2.5-point favorite to survive and advance to the championship game. The matchup has a point total of 159.5.

Florida vs. Auburn Odds

  • Florida odds to win: -155
  • Auburn odds to win: +130
  • Spread: Florida (-2.5)
  • Total: 159.5
  • Florida vs. Auburn Promo Codes

    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
  • Time: 6:09 p.m. ET
  • TV: CBS
  • Where: San Antonio, Texas
  • Venue: Alamodome
  • Who Will Win Florida vs. Auburn?

    Florida and Auburn Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    Florida has a 24-8 record against the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.

    Auburn is 1-1 against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year.

    The Gators and the Tigers combine to average 9.1 more points per game than the total of 159.5 set for this matchup.

    Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 138.9 points per game, 20.6 fewer than the point total in this game.

    The average point total for Florida’s games this season is 4.4 fewer points than the over/under of 159.5 in this matchup.

    The average point total for the Tigers this year is 7.1 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

    The Gators’ ATS record is 27-10-0 this season.

    The Tigers are 21-16-0 against the spread this season.

    Florida Stats & Insights

    Florida has a +599 scoring differential, topping opponents by 15.7 points per game. It is putting up 85.4 points per game to rank third in college basketball and is giving up 69.7 per contest to rank 98th in college basketball.

    Florida grabs 39.1 rebounds per game (second in college basketball) while allowing 30.3 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 8.8 boards per game.

    The Gators connect on 9.9 three-pointers per game (26th in college basketball) while shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc (79th in college basketball). They are making 3.2 more threes per outing than their opponents, who drain 6.7 per game while shooting 29.6%.

    Florida scores 105.3 points per 100 possessions (12th in college basketball), while allowing 85.9 points per 100 possessions (17th in college basketball).

    The Gators post 86.3 points per game at home, compared to 80.4 points per game in away games, a difference of 5.9 points per contest.

    Auburn Stats & Insights

    Auburn outscores opponents by 14 points per game (posting 83.2 points per game, 12th in college basketball, and conceding 69.2 per outing, 85th in college basketball) and has a +521 scoring differential.

    Auburn is 50th in the nation at 34.5 rebounds per game. That’s 5.1 more than the 29.4 its opponents average.

    Auburn connects on 9.1 three-pointers per game (57th in college basketball), 3.1 more than its opponents.

    Auburn ranks eighth in college basketball averaging 106.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 50th, allowing 88.2 points per 100 possessions.

    The Tigers are putting up more points at home (87.3 per game) than on the road (82).

    Florida Key Players to Watch

    The Gators leader in points and assists is Walter Clayton Jr., who scores 18.1 points per game along with 4.1 assists.

    Florida’s best rebounder is Alex Condon, who averages 7.7 boards per game in addition to a PPG average of 10.8.

    Clayton makes more threes per game than any other member of the Gators, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of three per contest.

    The Florida steals leader is Will Richard, who averages 1.6 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Condon, who compiles 1.4 rejections per contest.

    Auburn Key Players to Watch

    Johni Broome sits on top of the Tigers leaderboards for both scoring and rebounding with 18.7 points and 10.9 rebounds per game.

    Tahaad Pettiford notches more assists than any other Auburn player with 2.9 per game. Pettiford also averages 11.7 points and grabs 2.2 rebounds per game.

    Miles Kelly is consistent from distance and leads the Tigers with 2.3 made threes per game.

    Auburn’s leader in steals is Chad Baker-Mazara with 1.1 per game, and its leader in blocks is Broome with 2.1 per game.

    Florida vs. Auburn Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Auburn (+2.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (159.5)
  • Prediction:
    Auburn 78, Florida 76
  • How to Bet on Florida vs. Auburn

    And for more CBB game previews, NCAA basketball picks or even how to bet on college basketball check out the latest NCAAB lines on Betsperts.

    Florida vs. Auburn Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – NCAA Tournament Final Four - Bleacher Nation (2025)
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